TDO User Meeting & Scientific Session

Fall 2012


  • A historical review of uncertainty
  • Deductive reasoning and Inductive reasoning: How are they different?
  • The difference between statistical inference and probability inference
  • How “knowing the chances” is different from the “chance of knowing”
  • How to critically evaluate clinical research
  • What is a p-value – when is it important and when is it not important?
  • Why is Bayes in the news and what is “Bayesian thinking”?
  • What are the dangers of screening tests?
  • How to think about tests and testing
  • Some thoughts on nutrition research

Scientific Inference: What Do We Know and How Do We Know it?

This year’s PERF Scientific Session at the TDO meeting will be the first part of a 4-year Series that examines the topic of Clinical Inference

When: Thursday September 20, 2012
Where: Paradise Point, San Diego, CA 92121
Who: All TDO’ers and even non-TDO’ers!

This year’s speakers are leaders in the field of scientific inference, outcomes assessment, and the proper construction of clinical trials. You won’t want to miss this!

About The Presenters

Roger Lewis, M.D., Ph.D.

Dr. Lewis grew up in Southern California and completed his undergraduate, medical, and graduate training at Stanford University. Dr. Lewis is currently a Professor at the David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA and the Vice Chair for Academic Affairs in the Department of Emergency Medicine at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center. His academic interests center on clinical research methodology, including adaptive and Bayesian trial design, and he participates in the design and analysis of many laboratory, clinical, and health services research studies. His areas of interest include adaptive and Bayesian clinical trials; translational, clinical, health services and outcomes research; emergency department crowding and disaster preparedness, interim data analysis; the role and function of data monitoring committees; and difficulties surrounding informed consent in emergency research studies.

Steven Goodman, M.D., Ph.D.

Dr. Goodman is interested in issues relating to the representation and measurement of evidence in medical research, and determinants of the truth of medical findings, using a Bayesian framework. He also does work in evidence synthesis, comparative effectiveness research, and the ethics of clinical research. Finally, he has an ongoing project related to landmark clinical trials that have had great impact.

Meeting Outline

Secure Your Spot at the 2016 Event Today!